Trader Kane SMT Divergence + PO3 Strategy

Comprehensive Knowledge Base for LLM Training & Implementation

Futures Crypto Scalping Day Trading

Strategy Overview

Core Principle

Price often returns to the 50% level of a previous price range before continuing in the direction of the broader trend. This strategy focuses on moments when price manipulates a key high or low, then quickly reverses back into the range, offering high-probability entries with clearly defined risk.

Key Philosophy

The strategy follows a top-down approach starting from the Daily chart, moving to the 4H, then the 1H, and finally using the intraday chart for precise entries. A high-probability setup forms when all these timeframes align around a key 50% level, and a reversal structure is confirmed.

Strategic Objective

The goal is not to catch full trend moves. Instead, the focus is on consistent, repeatable base hits, capturing the cleanest part of the move back into the 50% level. If the trade continues beyond the target, that's a bonus — but the model is designed to take high-quality setups with tight risk and fast execution.

When to Use This Strategy

Power of Three (PO3) Structure

The Core Idea

The model is built around the Power of Three (PO3) — a 3-phase structure that appears in price action. You're not trying to catch the full trend. You're just trading the manipulation back into the 50% zone.

ACCUMULATION Range Building MANIPULATION Liquidity Sweep False Breakout DISTRIBUTION Return to 50% 50%

Phase 1: Accumulation

Description: Price trades sideways and builds a range

Characteristics:

  • Range building phase
  • Consolidation period
  • Liquidity accumulation

Phase 2: Manipulation

Description: Price sweeps liquidity above or below that range

Characteristics:

  • Liquidity grab
  • False breakout
  • Stop hunt

Phase 3: Distribution

Description: Price reverses and delivers back into the 50% area

Characteristics:

  • Reversal back to midpoint
  • True directional move
  • Target achievement

SMT (Smart Money Theory) Divergence

Definition

SMT Divergence occurs between correlated instruments (NQ and ES) where one makes a new high/low but the other doesn't, indicating potential reversal.

NQ (Nasdaq) New High ES (S&P 500) Lower High DIVERGENCE Bearish Signal - Potential Reversal

Key Signals

Signal Type Condition Interpretation
Bearish SMT NQ makes new high, ES doesn't Potential reversal to downside
Bullish SMT ES makes new low, NQ doesn't Potential reversal to upside

Critical Timing

10:00 AM EST is the key manipulation time. SMT divergence typically appears around the 1H timeframe and signals that the manipulation phase may be ending.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis Structure

This strategy uses a top-down approach to build bias and a lower timeframe to execute entries. All timeframes must align for highest probability setups.

📊 Daily Chart

Purpose: Set Overall Bias

Functions:

  • Spot previous day's high/low
  • Mark 50% level of large ranges
  • Establish directional bias
  • Identify target areas

📈 4-Hour Chart

Purpose: Structure Analysis

Functions:

  • Identify midpoint of recent swings
  • Check for PO3 structure
  • Analyze accumulation phase
  • Spot manipulation setups

⏰ 1-Hour Chart

Purpose: Confirmation

Functions:

  • Verify alignment with Daily/4H
  • Identify PO3 structure
  • Detect SMT divergence
  • Watch for 10AM manipulation

⚡ Intraday (3-5 min)

Purpose: Entry Execution

Functions:

  • Time precise entries
  • Execute after higher TF alignment
  • Watch breakdown/retest
  • Enter on inversion zone reaction

Trading Rules & Execution Framework

Step 1: Top-Down Bias Development

Start on Daily chart - mark high and low of swing
Identify 50% level (midpoint of range) - key target area
Check 4H chart for same 50% concept and swept high/low
Move to 1H chart - look for turning signs (wick around 10:00 AM)
Ensure all three timeframes align

Step 2: Wait for Manipulation and SMT

⚠️ Patience Required

At this point, you need to be patient. The setup must form properly.

Look for manipulation move around 10:00 AM EST
Price sweeps above previous high (bearish) or below low (bullish)
Check for SMT Divergence between NQ and ES
Confirm this is your signal that manipulation may be done

Step 3: Find the Inversion Zone

Inversion Zone: A previous support level that now acts as resistance (or vice versa) - a prior imbalance where price reacts.

After manipulation, identify price reaction from prior imbalance
Wait for price to break down or reject from this zone
Prepare entry: sell stop under breakdown OR limit on retest

Step 4: Enter the Trade

Entry Signal: Breakdown candle closes below inversion zone
Stop Loss: Just above SMT high (shorts) / below SMT low (longs)
Target: 50% level of impulse move (base hit)

Step 5: Manage the Trade

Base hits are the goal - don't aim for full move
Move stop to break-even as soon as price confirms favorable movement
If price returns above manipulation level - EXIT immediately

Trade Execution & Risk Management

Entry Criteria Checklist

Clean higher timeframe trend present
Price near 50% level of key range
Liquidity sweep/manipulation around 10:00 AM EST
SMT divergence confirmed between NQ and ES
Inversion zone identified with price reaction
All timeframes (Daily, 4H, 1H) aligned
PO3 structure visible across timeframes

Risk Management Framework

Element Specification Purpose
Stop Loss Above SMT high (shorts) / Below SMT low (longs) Invalidation level where setup fails
Take Profit 50% retracement level Base hit target - consistent profits
Break-Even When price takes out meaningful structure Protect capital, reduce risk to zero
Position Size Based on distance from entry to stop Fixed risk per trade

✅ Strategy Advantages

  • Precision Timing: Often catch daily high/low
  • High Confluence: Multiple confirmation signals
  • Clear Structure: Defined entry/exit rules
  • Quick Trades: Often done before midday
  • Multi-TF Confidence: Alignment across timeframes
  • Flexible: Works on higher timeframes too

⚠️ Things to Manage

  • Reversal Risk: Trading against momentum
  • Patience Required: Must wait for full setup
  • Break-Even Rate: Conservative exits may limit profits
  • Discipline Needed: Edge disappears without rules
  • Experience Factor: Best setups through repetition

Live Trade Example Walkthrough

1Daily Chart Analysis

Started with marking the previous day's high and low on the daily chart. This established the key range we were monitoring.

24-Hour Structure

On the 4H chart, price had pushed into a premium zone and swept a prior high - completing the Manipulation phase of PO3. A sharp rejection followed, indicating Distribution was underway.

4H Chart showed:

  • ✓ Accumulation (range building before)
  • ✓ Manipulation (liquidity grab above the high)
  • ✓ Rejection from premium zone (Distribution beginning)

31-Hour Confirmation

Moving to 1H chart, observed a second PO3 forming in sync with the 4H structure.

Around 10:00 AM EST:

  • NQ pushed higher into previous high
  • ES did NOT make same high
  • Clear SMT divergence confirmed

Price reached an inversion zone (previous imbalance area) and began rejecting.

All Criteria Met:
  • ✓ H1 PO3 structure
  • ✓ SMT divergence between NQ and ES
  • ✓ Price in premium zone
  • ✓ Everything aligning

4Entry Execution

After SMT divergence confirmed and price rejected the inversion zone, dropped to 3-minute chart for execution.

Price formed a pattern and failed to push higher. Once price closed below the inversion zone, a sell stop was placed beneath the breakdown candle.

ENTRY DETAILS: Entry: Sell stop triggered as price broke below inversion zone Stop Loss: Placed just above the SMT high Target: 50% level of H1 dealing range (base hit)

5Trade Management

Once triggered and price began moving lower, the 11:00 AM hourly candle flipped bearish - a key condition for break-even management.

At that point, the stop was moved to break-even. Price quickly moved in our favor and delivered cleanly to the 50% level.

✅ Result: Target Hit

The target was hit at the 50% level for a successful base hit. Although market moved much lower later, the model is not designed to catch extended runs - it's built for catching the cleanest part of the reversal.

Complete Implementation Checklist

Pre-Trade Analysis

Daily chart analyzed - previous day's high/low marked
50% level calculated and marked on Daily chart
Directional bias established
4H chart reviewed for PO3 structure
1H chart shows alignment with higher timeframes
Potential inversion zones identified

Setup Identification

Time is around/after 10:00 AM EST
Manipulation/liquidity sweep observed
NQ and ES charts compared for divergence
SMT divergence confirmed
Price reacting to inversion zone
Clear rejection or breakdown visible

Trade Execution

All entry criteria verified and met
Entry method selected (sell stop or limit)
Stop loss level identified and placed
Target level identified (50% of range)
Risk/reward ratio acceptable
Position size calculated
All orders placed and verified

Trade Management

Trade triggered - position confirmed
Price movement monitored
Break-even criteria identified
Stop moved to break-even when appropriate
Target reached OR stopped out

Post-Trade Review

All entry criteria actually met? (honest assessment)
Execution followed plan exactly?
Management rules followed correctly?
What worked well documented
Improvement areas identified
New insights recorded

Key Terminology Reference

Term Definition
Base Hit Consistent, reliable target (50% level) rather than trying to catch full moves
Inversion Zone Area where previous support becomes resistance (or vice versa)
Liquidity Sweep Price movement designed to trigger stops and gather liquidity
Manipulation False breakout before true direction - Phase 2 of PO3
Premium Zone Price area above 50% of established range
Discount Zone Price area below 50% of established range
PO3 Power of Three - Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution cycle
SMT Divergence Smart Money Theory divergence between correlated instruments (NQ vs ES)
NQ Nasdaq 100 E-mini futures contract
ES S&P 500 E-mini futures contract

Strategy Summary

The Trader Kane SMT Divergence + PO3 strategy is a precision-based intraday methodology that combines multi-timeframe analysis, Smart Money Theory divergence, and Power of Three market structure to identify high-probability reversal trades.

The strategy focuses on consistent base hits rather than full trend captures, targeting the 50% retracement level with tight risk management and clearly defined entry/exit criteria.

Success requires: Patience to wait for complete setup formation, discipline to follow all rules strictly, and experience gained through repetition to recognize the highest quality setups.

Remember

  • Wait for ALL timeframes to align (Daily, 4H, 1H)
  • Confirm SMT divergence between NQ and ES
  • Key manipulation time is 10:00 AM EST
  • Target the 50% level for base hits
  • Move to break-even to protect capital
  • Quality over quantity - patience is key